State of Iran on Jan 1st 2027

Prediction market on manifold. I'll resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, and use my own judgment in the event of ambiguity. I may resolve to % if I feel it's appropriate. I won't bet. Specific rules: The de-facto head of state is generally understood to be more friendly to US interests than Ali Khamenei By this I mean "strictly more friendly", in the sense that a leader who is roughly "similar" resolves no.

24h Volume: $298. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.