Will the Dow hit 50k before the number of American troops in Iran does?

Prediction market on manifold. Source for the DJIA: https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/dow_jones Sourcing for the number of troops will be dynamic as it may come from a number of different sources. As information may contradict or be hazy under this administration, I will use my own judgement along with feedback from moderators and trusted users. If there is a definitive source for the exact number of troops that I am unaware of at the time of posting this market, I am willing to amend the description to peg the resolution to it.

24h Volume: $2,502. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 3/20/2029.