Successful Starship splashdowns before orbital launch attempt?

Prediction market on manifold. The minimum is 4 as i am counting flights 4, 5, 6 and 10 as successfully splashed down. Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is not a multiple resolution market - only one option can resolve YES. The market was temporarily resolved as 4 and then unresolved. Update 2026-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Flight 11 counts as a successful splashdown. Flight 12 appears successful but is pending confirmation from new video releases. If Flight 12 is confirmed, the total successful splashdowns would be 6.

24h Volume: $52. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 7/1/2026.