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Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES once an individual Starship second stage launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again from the same launch tower/pad it landed at - without being removed from that tower in between the landing and relaunch Answers resolve NO once date is passed (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain) The booster can be picked up by the chopsticks (or equivalent), but if it is placed down on anything other than the booster or launch mount (or equivalent) it is counted as having been removed Work done on the vehicle while it's on the launch mount (or equivalent) does not invalidate it The launches themselves don't need to be successful Starship does not need to be its exact name but it must be the second stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle I've tried to make this market resilient to any changes SpaceX could make in how Starship is supposed to launch and land - but I won't participate in this market just in case it is ambiguous UTC is used for dates Please ask if you want anything clarified Related markets: @/Nat/when-will-a-starship-booster-first @/Nat/when-will-starship-first-relaunch-i @/Nat/when-will-a-starship-booster-first-1311e8827875
24h Volume: $300. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2035.