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Prediction market on metaculus. The [2026 FIFA World Cup](https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026) will be co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico, with matches scheduled from June 11 to July 19, 2026. It will be the first World Cup to feature 48 teams and the first co-hosted by three nations. On May 14, 2026, FIFA released ["Dai Dai"](https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/shakira-burna-boy-dai-dai-official-song) by Shakira and Burna Boy as the Official FIFA World Cup 2026 Song, in support of the FIFA Global Citizen Education Fund. The song was unveiled at the Maracana Stadium and released globally across streaming platforms. The benchmark for this question is Shakira's ["Waka Waka (This Time for Africa)"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waka_Waka_\(This_Time_for_Africa\)), the official song of the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa. Waka Waka peaked at **#38 on the US** [Billboard Hot 100](https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/). It became the best-selling World Cup song of all time and one of the most-viewed music videos on YouTube, with multi-platinum certifications in numerous markets. For comparison, here is how the official songs of the three most recent tournaments performed on the US Hot 100: * **2014 Brazil** — ["We Are One (Ole Ola)"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/We_Are_One_\(Ole_Ola\)) by Pitbull, Jennifer Lopez & Claudia Leitte peaked at **#11** on the Hot 100 (the only post-2010 World Cup song to outpeak Waka Waka). * **2018 Russia** — ["Live It Up"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Live_It_Up_\(Nicky_Jam_song\)) by Nicky Jam, Will Smith & Era Istrefi did not chart on the Hot 100. * **2022 Qatar** — ["Hayya Hayya (Better Together)"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hayya_Hayya_\(Better_Together\)) and ["Tukoh Taka"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tukoh_Taka) neither charted on the Hot 100. Several factors may influence "Dai Dai"'s chart performance. The tournament being co-hosted by the United States, the world's largest music market and the basis for the Billboard Hot 100, could increase the likelihood of a US chart hit. Shakira herself has an established US chart presence, and Burna Boy is one of the most globally successful Afrobeats artists, having previously charted on the Hot 100. 
Resolves: 7/31/2026.