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Prediction market on manifold. Lower bounds inclusive, upper bounds exclusive. Based on best credible reporting, or my best estimate if not available. (That might be a research-enabled AI estimate; if some mod is resolving this for me I recommend that approach.) Context: Trump has proposed a $100k visa fee. It's unclear if that's per-year or one-time, and whether it applies to new applicants only or annual renewals. The current visa cap is 85,000 new visas per year, with approximately 730,000 holders in the US currently. Renewals are not counted towards the cap.
24h Volume: $440.133. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 2/1/2027.