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Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases an AI model named "Claude Fable" (including variations like "Claude Fable 5" or "claude-fable-5") on or before June 17, 2026, at 11:59 PM EST. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO. Definition of "Released": The model must be made available for general public use, developer API access, or via major cloud platform catalogs (such as Amazon Bedrock or Google Cloud/Azure AI Studio). Background Speculation surrounding "Claude Fable" (specifically "Claude Fable 5") intensified in early June 2026 after online observers detected internal checkpoints and model tracker listings showing claude-fable-5 as a model entry on Microsoft Azure.
24h Volume: $2,656.543. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/16/2026.