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BLOCKCIRCLE/PRODUCT/MRS/7 Recession Models

Macroeconomic Risk Scorecard

7 recession methodologies, 50+ indicators in one dashboard

7
Recession Models
50+
Indicators
Real-time
Updates
02 — OVERVIEW

What it does.

Single paragraph.
Plain English.

Monitor macroeconomic risk in real-time with 7 proven recession prediction methodologies and over 50 economic indicators. From yield curve inversions to leading indicators - know when the macro environment shifts before markets react.

03 — SOURCES

Data & methodology.

Primary sources.
Cited inline.
04 — FEATURES

Key capabilities.

6 items.
Each shipped.
01

7 Recession Models

Sahm Rule, yield curve, LEI, and more - each with historical accuracy rates and current readings.

02

50+ Economic Indicators

Employment, housing, manufacturing, consumer sentiment - all updated automatically.

03

Composite Risk Score

Single risk score aggregating all models and indicators for quick macro health assessment.

04

Historical Cycle Overlays

Compare current indicator levels against previous recession lead-ups for pattern recognition.

05

Fed Policy Tracker

Monitor rate expectations, balance sheet changes, and forward guidance shifts in real-time.

06

Macro Event Calendar

Never miss an important economic release with our curated calendar and impact estimates.

05 — WORKFLOW

How it works.

Step by step.
01

Recession Probability Dashboard

Seven independent recession models running simultaneously - from the Sahm Rule to yield curve inversions. Each model displays its current reading, historical accuracy, and probability estimate.

02

Leading Indicators Panel

50+ economic indicators updated automatically, organized by category. Employment, housing, manufacturing, and consumer data - all in one view with trend arrows and historical context.

03

Fed Policy & Event Calendar

Track Fed rate expectations, balance sheet changes, and upcoming economic releases. Never be caught off guard by a surprise data print or policy shift.

06 — TRADINGVIEW

Macroeconomic Risk Scorecard on TradingView.

Add to chart.

MRS is also available as a published TradingView indicator. Add it to your charts directly from the TradingView script library.

View on TradingView →
07 — GET STARTED

Open MRS.
Trial included.

7-day trial.
Cancel anytime.

Get started for free and unlock the full power of MRS with a Blockcircle subscription. 7-day trial, cancel anytime, no lock-in.

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about the Macroeconomic Risk Scorecard.