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Results

Every signal we published. Wins and losses.

All 148 Trade Alpha signals since 25 Mar 2026, including 115 from strategies we have since removed. Each one is sized at $1,000 and shown after trading costs. Updated every day.

$1,000 on every signal since 25 Mar needed up to $8,000 at once. Today that $8,000 is worth

$7,777

-$223 (-2.8%) after costs

The same $8,000 held over the same dates:BTC $9,267 (+15.8%)SPY $9,483 (+18.5%)QQQ $10,224 (+27.8%)

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Period 25 Mar 2026 to 11 Oct 2026. As at 11 Oct 2026, 05:39 UTC. US dollars. After costs: crypto 0.1% a side, stocks and ETFs half the bid-ask spread a side. Not annualised: the record is less than a year old.

Closed signals127since 25 Mar

Won after costs43.3%55 of 127

Return-2.8%on $8,000

Max drawdown-7.5%peak to trough

Open now6valued at the last close

Account value against holding the index

Signals, $1,000 each $7,777 -2.8%Start $8,000

127 closed43.3% won-2.8% return-7.5% max drawdown6 openfrom 25 Mar 2026BTC held: +15.8%, max drawdown -28.7%

The ledger

148 signals: 134 live, 14 adopted late. 133 counted. Listed but not counted: 6 voided, 2 private, 7 written after they had closed. Tap a row for its times, costs and proof.

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Asset	Side	Issued	Entry	Exit or value	After costs	Status
F MTE · F MTE 1day	Long	1 Oct 2026 00:00 Live	12.06	12.272 Oct	+1.66%+$16.58	Closed
V MTE · V MTE 1day	Long	1 Oct 2026 00:00 Live	359.33	359.852 Oct	+0.10%+$1.05	Closed
SOL MRE · Market Reversals (MRE) Alert		28 Sep 2026 03:30 Live		10 Oct		Open
BAC MTE · BAC MTE 1day		23 Sep 2026 00:00 Live		9 Oct		Open
EFV MTE · EFV MTE 1day	Long	22 Sep 2026 00:10 Live	81.50	80.1224 Sep	-1.73%-$17.33	Closed
NKE My Trade · Alpaca - Manual entry		17 Sep 2026 18:02 Live		9 Oct		Open
EFV MTE · EFV MTE 1day	Long	17 Sep 2026 00:02 Live	81.18	80.8219 Sep	-0.48%-$4.83	Closed
SOL MRE · Market Reversals (MRE) Alert	Long	15 Sep 2026 05:21 Live	100.89	103.6218 Sep	+2.50%+$25.03	Closed
SOL MRE · Market Reversals (MRE) Alert	Long	12 Sep 2026 19:38 Live	101.43	103.4214 Sep	+1.76%+$17.60	Closed
F MTE · F MTE 1day	Long	3 Sep 2026 00:46 Adopted late	13.93	14.414 Sep	+3.37%+$33.74	Voided
BAC MTE · BAC MTE 1day	Long	3 Sep 2026 00:46 Adopted late	61.94	63.044 Sep	+1.74%+$17.36	Voided
BAC MTE · BAC MTE 1day	Long	1 Sep 2026 00:02 Live	61.94	62.603 Sep	+1.03%+$10.25	Closed
XAG MTE · XAG/USD MTE 4h · traded as SLV		28 Aug 2026 11:03 Live		10 Oct		Open
F MTE · F MTE 1day	Long	22 Aug 2026 06:46 Adopted late	13.93	14.143 Sep	+1.44%+$14.36	Closed
XAG MTE · XAG/USD MTE 4h · traded as SLV	Long	18 Aug 2026 07:58 Adopted late	63.338	69.02221 Aug	+8.93%+$89.32	Closed
BK MTE · BK MTE 1day	Long	5 Aug 2026 15:21 Adopted late	158.74	162.6614 Sep	+2.43%+$24.29	Closed
F MTE · F MTE 1day	Short	5 Aug 2026 15:21 Adopted late	14.13	14.136 Aug	-0.07%-$0.71	Closed
XAG MTE · XAG/USD MTE 4h · traded as SLV	Long	5 Aug 2026 15:21 Adopted late	62.047	64.2747 Aug	+3.55%+$35.48	Closed
CRM MTE · CRM MTE 1day · removed		13 Jun 2026 00:00 Live		9 Oct		Open
CRM MTE · CRM MTE 1day · removed	Short	11 Jun 2026 00:00 Live	170.92	166.4512 Jun	+2.58%+$25.76	Closed
BCH MTE · BCH/USD MTE 4h · removed	Long	5 Jun 2026 04:00 Live	239.50	225.705 Jun	-5.96%-$59.56	Closed
CVX MTE · CVX MTE 1day · removed		5 Jun 2026 00:00 Live		9 Oct		Open
CRM MTE · CRM MTE 1day · removed	Long	4 Jun 2026 00:00 Live	190.61	188.755 Jun	-1.02%-$10.16	Closed
CVX MTE · CVX MTE 1day · removed	Long	3 Jun 2026 00:00 Live	187.55	189.714 Jun	+1.11%+$11.11	Closed
CRM MTE · CRM MTE 1day · removed	Long	2 Jun 2026 00:00 Live	209.60	200.843 Jun	-4.22%-$42.19	Closed
CVX MTE · CVX MTE 1day · removed	Long	30 May 2026 00:00 Live	182.46	185.832 Jun	+1.81%+$18.07	Closed
CRM MTE · CRM MTE 1day · removed	Long	29 May 2026 00:00 Live	176.17	191.0230 May	+8.39%+$83.88	Closed
CVX MTE · CVX MTE 1day · removed	Long	28 May 2026 00:00 Live	182.40	183.0329 May	+0.31%+$3.05	Closed
0Y4G AOE · AOE Outperformer	Long	27 May 2026 18:01 Live	46.622	46.62227 May	-0.04%-$0.40	Closed
0Y10 AOE · AOE Outperformer	Long	27 May 2026 18:00 Live	146.82	146.8227 May	-0.04%-$0.40	Closed
ROCK Insider · Insider Alpha - Bosway William T (President and CEO)	Long	27 May 2026 17:17 Live	37.438	39.2227 May	+4.72%+$47.20	Closed
CRM MTE · CRM MTE 1day · removed	Long	27 May 2026 00:01 Live	179.08	177.5128 May	-0.92%-$9.17	Closed
BCH MTE · BCH/USD MTE 4h · removed	Long	26 May 2026 20:00 Live	346.00	343.4027 May	-0.95%-$9.51	Closed
CVX MTE · CVX MTE 1day · removed	Long	23 May 2026 00:00 Live	191.43	184.7127 May	-3.55%-$35.50	Closed
CVX MTE · CVX MTE 1day · removed	Long	21 May 2026 00:01 Live	191.33	191.0122 May	-0.21%-$2.07	Closed
BCH MTE · BCH/USD MTE 4h · removed	Long	20 May 2026 04:00 Live	370.00	370.4020 May	-0.09%-$0.92	Closed
BCH MTE · BCH/USD MTE 4h · removed	Long	19 May 2026 20:00 Live	368.00	370.4020 May	+0.45%+$4.52	Closed
CVX MTE · CVX MTE 1day · removed	Long	19 May 2026 00:00 Live	196.12	197.2520 May	+0.54%+$5.36	Closed
CVX MTE · CVX MTE 1day · removed	Long	17 May 2026 03:34 Adopted late	183.99	191.0917 May	+3.82%+$38.18	Not counted
CRM MTE · CRM MTE 1day · removed	Short	16 May 2026 14:32 Live	173.51	179.4819 May	-3.48%-$34.81	Closed

F Long

MTE · F MTE 1day

+1.66%+$16.58

1 Oct 202612.06 to 12.27

LiveClosed

V Long

MTE · V MTE 1day

+0.10%+$1.05

1 Oct 2026359.33 to 359.85

LiveClosed

SOL

MRE · Market Reversals (MRE) Alert

28 Sep 2026

LiveOpen

BAC

MTE · BAC MTE 1day

23 Sep 2026

LiveOpen

EFV Long

MTE · EFV MTE 1day

-1.73%-$17.33

22 Sep 202681.50 to 80.12

LiveClosed

NKE

My Trade · Alpaca - Manual entry

17 Sep 2026

LiveOpen

EFV Long

MTE · EFV MTE 1day

-0.48%-$4.83

17 Sep 202681.18 to 80.82

LiveClosed

SOL Long

MRE · Market Reversals (MRE) Alert

+2.50%+$25.03

15 Sep 2026100.89 to 103.62

LiveClosed

SOL Long

MRE · Market Reversals (MRE) Alert

+1.76%+$17.60

12 Sep 2026101.43 to 103.42

LiveClosed

F Long

MTE · F MTE 1day

+3.37%+$33.74

3 Sep 202613.93 to 14.41

Adopted lateVoided

BAC Long

MTE · BAC MTE 1day

+1.74%+$17.36

3 Sep 202661.94 to 63.04

Adopted lateVoided

BAC Long

MTE · BAC MTE 1day

+1.03%+$10.25

1 Sep 202661.94 to 62.60

LiveClosed

XAG

MTE · XAG/USD MTE 4h · traded as SLV

28 Aug 2026

LiveOpen

F Long

MTE · F MTE 1day

+1.44%+$14.36

22 Aug 202613.93 to 14.14

Adopted lateClosed

XAG Long

MTE · XAG/USD MTE 4h · traded as SLV

+8.93%+$89.32

18 Aug 202663.338 to 69.022

Adopted lateClosed

BK Long

MTE · BK MTE 1day

+2.43%+$24.29

5 Aug 2026158.74 to 162.66

Adopted lateClosed

F Short

MTE · F MTE 1day

-0.07%-$0.71

5 Aug 202614.13 to 14.13

Adopted lateClosed

XAG Long

MTE · XAG/USD MTE 4h · traded as SLV

+3.55%+$35.48

5 Aug 202662.047 to 64.274

Adopted lateClosed

CRM

MTE · CRM MTE 1day

13 Jun 2026

LiveOpen

CRM Short

MTE · CRM MTE 1day

+2.58%+$25.76

11 Jun 2026170.92 to 166.45

LiveClosed

BCH Long

MTE · BCH/USD MTE 4h

-5.96%-$59.56

5 Jun 2026239.50 to 225.70

LiveClosed

CVX

MTE · CVX MTE 1day

5 Jun 2026

LiveOpen

CRM Long

MTE · CRM MTE 1day

-1.02%-$10.16

4 Jun 2026190.61 to 188.75

LiveClosed

CVX Long

MTE · CVX MTE 1day

+1.11%+$11.11

3 Jun 2026187.55 to 189.71

LiveClosed

CRM Long

MTE · CRM MTE 1day

-4.22%-$42.19

2 Jun 2026209.60 to 200.84

LiveClosed

CVX Long

MTE · CVX MTE 1day

+1.81%+$18.07

30 May 2026182.46 to 185.83

LiveClosed

CRM Long

MTE · CRM MTE 1day

+8.39%+$83.88

29 May 2026176.17 to 191.02

LiveClosed

CVX Long

MTE · CVX MTE 1day

+0.31%+$3.05

28 May 2026182.40 to 183.03

LiveClosed

0Y4G Long

AOE · AOE Outperformer

-0.04%-$0.40

27 May 202646.622 to 46.622

LiveClosed

0Y10 Long

AOE · AOE Outperformer

-0.04%-$0.40

27 May 2026146.82 to 146.82

LiveClosed

ROCK Long

Insider · Insider Alpha - Bosway William T (President and CEO)

+4.72%+$47.20

27 May 202637.438 to 39.22

LiveClosed

CRM Long

MTE · CRM MTE 1day

-0.92%-$9.17

27 May 2026179.08 to 177.51

LiveClosed

BCH Long

MTE · BCH/USD MTE 4h

-0.95%-$9.51

26 May 2026346.00 to 343.40

LiveClosed

CVX Long

MTE · CVX MTE 1day

-3.55%-$35.50

23 May 2026191.43 to 184.71

LiveClosed

CVX Long

MTE · CVX MTE 1day

-0.21%-$2.07

21 May 2026191.33 to 191.01

LiveClosed

BCH Long

MTE · BCH/USD MTE 4h

-0.09%-$0.92

20 May 2026370.00 to 370.40

LiveClosed

BCH Long

MTE · BCH/USD MTE 4h

+0.45%+$4.52

19 May 2026368.00 to 370.40

LiveClosed

CVX Long

MTE · CVX MTE 1day

+0.54%+$5.36

19 May 2026196.12 to 197.25

LiveClosed

CVX Long

MTE · CVX MTE 1day

+3.82%+$38.18

17 May 2026183.99 to 191.09

Adopted lateNot counted

CRM Short

MTE · CRM MTE 1day

-3.48%-$34.81

16 May 2026173.51 to 179.48

LiveClosed

How this record is built

What is in it

Every row Trade Alpha has written since 25 Mar 2026: 148 signals. That includes 115 from strategies we have since removed, which Trade Alpha no longer shows. Backtest rows are never in it.

Live or adopted late

A signal is live when it was written within an hour of the time it shows. Some were written later, mostly when our reconciler adopted a trade the engine had missed. Those are marked adopted late. Their issue time is the time they were written, and the entry is re-priced at the first daily close after that, because nobody could have acted earlier. A late row written after its own exit is listed and not counted.

Voided and private

Voided rows are trades the engine never held, or duplicates closed by a cleanup job. Private rows were never shown on the public feed. Both are listed and not counted.

Sizing

$1,000 on every signal. Each group is an account sized to the most signals it held at once, times $1,000. That is the "needed up to" figure. Open signals are valued at the latest daily close.

Costs

Crypto spot: 0.1% a side. Hyperliquid perps: 0.05% a side, with funding left out because we do not store funding history (there were no perp signals in this period). Stocks and ETFs on Alpaca pay no commission, so we charge half the bid-ask spread a side, taken as half a cent a share or 0.02% of the price, whichever is more. Silver signals trade as SLV on Alpaca and use the stock model. Crypto shorts pay the spot rate, without borrow costs.

Benchmarks

The same starting balance held in Bitcoin, SPY or QQQ from the group's first signal to today, at daily closes, before costs. Our XAG/USD price feed stopped on 15 Sep 2026; after that we carry silver with SLV's daily moves.

Proof of timing

5 signals carry Discord message ids, and a Discord id encodes the moment Discord received the post. Since 7 Oct 2026 every new or changed row is also written to an append-only log every five minutes, each entry hashed together with the one before it, so a changed or deleted past entry breaks the chain. The log has 155 entries and the chain checks out. Latest hash 3385cb680ba5f436. Download the log.

Rules

Since 7 Oct 2026, Market Reversal (MRE) signals carry a published stop and target, shown with each row. Earlier rows show the levels they were posted with, where they had any.

Periods and currency

Figures run from each group's first counted signal to 11 Oct 2026, in US dollars, with no currency conversion. Returns are not annualised until the record is a year old. The ledger and its figures are real signals only. The In testing section is a paper test, shown next to each rule's backtest and labelled that way; it never enters the ledger.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Blockcircle provides market information and software tools. It does not provide personal financial advice. Trading involves risk, including loss of capital.