Value at Risk and Its Limitations
Value at Risk became the standard measure of portfolio risk after the 1990s. It is useful as a summary metric, but its limitations are significant and well-documented.
Marktanalysen, Produkt-Updates und Handelsstrategien vom Blockcircle-Team.
Value at Risk became the standard measure of portfolio risk after the 1990s. It is useful as a summary metric, but its limitations are significant and well-documented.
Trading apps borrow slot-machine mechanics to train checking behavior, not good decisions. Here is how the loop works and a workflow that pulls you out of it.
Diversification only works when your assets are not all doing the same thing at the same time. Correlation matrices quantify that relationship and reveal when your portfolio is less diversified than you think.
A coin priced at a fraction of a cent can be more expensive than one at ninety dollars. Here is the market cap math behind unit bias and a ninety second check to run before you buy.
Everyone learns the Sharpe ratio formula. Fewer people understand what makes a good one, what distorts it, and why comparing Sharpe ratios across different strategies requires more care than most realize.
When an exchange fails, most customers become unsecured creditors and get paid at petition-date prices, years later. Here is how the claims process actually works and how to limit your exposure before trouble.
Airline pilots use checklists for a reason: they prevent errors of omission under pressure. Trading checklists serve the same function, ensuring you evaluate every relevant factor before committing capital.
The cross-currency basis is a free, boring FX plumbing number that turns sharply negative when the world runs short of dollars, often before the DXY or crypto react.
Circulating, total, and max supply measure different things, and aggregators disagree on the first one. How to read all three and use the circulating-to-max ratio as a fast dilution screen.
No single indicator reliably calls recessions. But when multiple independent indicators start flashing simultaneously, the probability of a false signal drops dramatically.
Auto-compounding vaults quote a higher APY than the farm underneath, but the uplift comes from compounding frequency, gas, and fees. Here is when the vault actually wins.