Will California experience a 6.5+ magnitude earthquake before 2030?

Prediction market on metaculus. California is located on the [San Andreas Fault](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Andreas_Fault), an active fault that produces frequent small earthquakes and occasional larger earthquakes.  The [Southern California Earthquake Data Center](https://scedc.caltech.edu/about/index.html) tracks [earthquakes occurring in ](https://scedc.caltech.edu/recent/Maps/San_Francisco.html)California, including their magnitudes.

Resolves: 1/1/2030.