Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high price before October 6, 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's first and most widely adopted cryptocurrency. Its price has historically shown significant volatility, reaching an all-time high of \$126,198.07 on October 6, 2025 before falling (according to [CoinMarketCap](https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/)). The price of Bitcoin is influenced by multiple factors, including: * Institutional adoption (e.g., Bitcoin ETFs, corporate holdings) * Macroeconomic conditions (e.g., inflation, interest rates, monetary policies)  * Regulatory developments (e.g., government restrictions, taxation, legal status)  * Technological advancements (e.g., Layer 2 solutions, network upgrades) * Market sentiment and speculation Several financial institutions and analysts have provided forecasts for Bitcoin’s price: * [Bitwise](https://bitwiseinvestments.com/crypto-market-insights/the-year-ahead-10-crypto-predictions-for-2026), [Standard Charter and Bernstein](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-09/bitcoin-bulls-standard-chartered-bernstein-pare-back-most-ambitious-forecasts?embedded-checkout=true) predicts BTC to reach a new ATH in 2026. * [Forbes](https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2025/12/16/serious-2026-3-trillion-crypto-collapse-fed-warning-issued-10000-bitcoin-price-predicted-as-crash-fears-swirl/) has warned of a possible huge crash in BTC price. Bitcoin has been [priced below \$100,000 since November 13, 2025](https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/).

Resolves: 10/6/2026.