Will a publicly traded US company reach a market cap of ≥$10T before 2028?

Prediction market on metaculus. As of April 2026, Nvidia is considered to have the most plausible path to a \$10 trillion valuation by 2028, driven by its dominance in selling AI data center chips.  Analysts have suggested that if Nvidia maintains high revenue growth (e.g., 30%–47% annually) over the next few years, it could potentially hit this valuation by 2028–2030. For a \$10 trillion valuation, the company would likely need to generate roughly \$300 billion in annual net income (assuming a 30x P/E ratio), which some analysts believe requires continued rapid AI capex growth from major tech partners.

Resolves: 12/31/2027.