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Prediction market on metaculus. Karen Ruth Bass is an American politician who has served as the [43rd mayor of Los Angeles](https://mayor.lacity.gov/) since 2022, representing the Democratic Party.  On June 3, 2026 [Bass advanced to a November runoff](https://apnews.com/article/los-angeles-mayor-election-bass-pratt-ca624a57c9e717ecdf0f86756b0d370b) "as she fights to stay in City Hall against challengers from both ends of the political spectrum." Her first term has been framed by the [most destructive wildfire in city history](https://apnews.com/article/california-wildfires-los-angeles-deaths-75642a4e6cd66a34cbced64c10dd4f3b) and an ongoing struggle with widespread homelessness. On June 9, 2026, progressive city council member Nithya Raman [has also advanced](https://apnews.com/projects/elections-2026/california-primary-results/), "setting up an unexpected matchup between two Democrats and former political allies." Raman beat [Spencer Pratt](https://apnews.com/article/spencer-pratt-los-angeles-mayor-karen-bass-86eea9b87b1a7aedd58e242bc4f7ea39), a Republican and former reality television personality from "The Hills". Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Resolves: 11/5/2026.