Prediction market on metaculus. The President of Indonesia is allowed to serve for [a maximum of two terms](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_Indonesia). [Prabowo Subianto](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prabowo_Subianto), the incumbent, was [first elected](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Indonesian_presidential_election) in the last election, in 2024. This means he is allowed to run again in 2029, which he and his party has [announced their intention to do exactly that](https://en.tempo.co/read/1975563/gerindra-party-prabowo-to-run-for-second-term-in-2029-elections). Indonesia uses [a modified Top-Two Runoff system](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2029_Indonesian_presidential_election), where a candidate must obtain atleast 50 percent of the overall vote, plus 20 percent of votes within atleast half of the provinces of Indonesia, to immediately win in the first round. Otherwise, the top two candidates will go to a runoff.
Resolves: 6/30/2029.