Prediction market on metaculus. According to the [U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention](https://www.cdc.gov/alpha-gal-syndrome/about/) (CDC), > Alpha-gal syndrome (AGS) is a serious, potentially life-threatening allergy and tickborne disease. > When a tick bites, it can transfer alpha-gal from its saliva into a person's blood. The body's natural defenses, or immune system, can identify alpha-gal as a threat and trigger an allergic reaction. Symptoms occur after people eat red meat or are exposed to other products made from mammals. Because of this, AGS is also known as red meat allergy or tick bite meat allergy. > More than [110,000 suspected cases of AGS](https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/72/wr/mm7230a2.htm?s_cid=mm7230a2_w) were identified between 2010 and 2022. However, cases of AGS are not nationally notifiable to CDC. The actual number of AGS cases in the United States is not known, but as many as 450,000 people may be affected. There is an [increased awareness](https://apnews.com/article/alphagal-syndrome-tick-bite-meat-allergy-d604cb9e6a1ae9673085cc4efe7178b2) among health professionals and the public of AGS. The bipartisan [Recognize AGS Act](https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/118/hr7373#google_vignette), introduced in February 2024, would have directed the Secretary of Health and Human Services to include AGS on the notifiable diseases list, but it did not receive a vote and died at the end of the 118th Congress.
Resolves: 1/6/2029.