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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if the total number of confirmed Measles cases reported in the United States for 2026 is greater than 4500 at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Outcome sourced from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The applicable count will be the count reported on the CDC Measles Cases and Outbreaks page (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html).
Resolves: 1/14/2027.