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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if the seasonally adjusted annualized rate of real U.S. GDP growth for Q3 2026 is above 2.0%. Outcome sourced from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Settlement is based on the Advance Estimate GDP release published by the BEA, currently scheduled for October 29, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes. If the figure is not published on the scheduled date, the first officially published Q3 2026 figure will be used. If no qualifying GDP figure is released within three months of the Advance Estimate GDP scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous quarter with available data.
Resolves: 11/12/2026.