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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if the Bank of Japan increases the short-term policy interest rate by 50 basis points or more at the September 2026 BOJ Monetary Policy Meeting. Outcome sourced from Bank of Japan. If the change in the specified rate does not precisely match the displayed options, changes smaller than the smallest option of the same direction (increase/decrease) will be rounded to that smallest option, and changes greater than the smallest option of the same direction will be rounded to the nearest displayed option, with values exactly halfway between options being rounded away from zero.
Resolves: 10/2/2026.