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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if the European Central Bank decreases the deposit facility rate by 50 basis points or more at the October 2026 European Central Bank Monetary Policy Meeting. Outcome sourced from the European Central Bank. If the change in the specified rate does not precisely match the displayed options, changes smaller than the smallest option of the same direction (increase/decrease) will be rounded to that smallest option, and changes greater than the smallest option of the same direction will be rounded to the nearest displayed option, with values exactly halfway between options being rounded away from zero.
Resolves: 11/13/2026.