Loading
Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Google releases a Gemini model numbered 4.0 or greater by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Google. A "release" refers to the specified model being made accessible and usable to the general public without requiring special status, including via an open beta or open rolling waitlist. A release available to some or all paid members of the public qualifies. A closed beta, or access limited to a closed group of testers, researchers, or enterprise customers, does not qualify.
Resolves: 12/15/2026.