Fed Rate Cut Greater Than 25bps? - By December 31, 2026

Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if the Federal Reserve takes a single monetary policy action to decrease the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate by more than 25 basis points by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from the Federal Reserve. Monetary policy actions taken at scheduled FOMC meetings or at unscheduled or emergency meetings will both qualify.

Resolves: 1/15/2027.