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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if the European Central Bank decreases the deposit facility rate by any amount between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from European Central Bank. Rate changes effected as part of scheduled monetary policy meetings or announcements, or during unscheduled or emergency meetings will both qualify. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change is the change to the upper bound.
Resolves: 1/15/2027.