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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Friedrich Merz formally ceases to hold the position of Chancellor of Germany by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Friedrich Merz and the government of Germany. Friedrich Merz must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify.
Resolves: 1/15/2027.