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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Merrill Kelly allows 3 or more earned runs in the Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. The listed player must be the starting pitcher; otherwise, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the game is shortened but an official final result is declared, the market will settle based on that result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Resolves: 10/1/2026.