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Prediction market on polymarket. On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026" includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The "text of the agreement" refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement. Public disclosures of the agreement's contents, including fact sheets, summaries, and descriptions of its terms, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. A portion of the text of the agreement must be officially released by at least one of the governments of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland through official government channels or an authorized public release to the media. Leaks, unauthorized disclosures, or other unofficial publications will not qualify. Text of the agreement read aloud, without release in visual form, will not qualify. Government confirmation of the authenticity of leaked or otherwise unofficially disclosed text, without an official public release of the text itself, will not qualify. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it is officially released as specified in these rules and contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the parties. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolves: 10/1/2026.