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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Federico Arnaboldi in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Marvin Moeller” if Marvin Moeller wins the first set. It will resolve to “Federico Arnaboldi” if Federico Arnaboldi wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Resolves: 9/30/2026.