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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Binda and Nikolai Barsukov in the M25 Yinchuan, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Alexander Binda” if Alexander Binda wins the first set. It will resolve to “Nikolai Barsukov” if Nikolai Barsukov wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Resolves: 10/1/2026.