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Prediction market on polymarket. This market will resolve in favor of the pitcher who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the most wins. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the tied pitcher with the lower earned run average (ERA) in the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the tied pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed pitcher to finish with the most wins, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no wins leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves: 10/12/2026.