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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Adrian Mannarino” if Adrian Mannarino wins the first set. It will resolve to “Denis Shapovalov” if Denis Shapovalov wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Resolves: 10/4/2026.