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Prediction market on metaculus. Since the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022, the conversational chatbot paradigm has dominated consumer-facing artificial intelligence. However, many AI researchers and industry figures speculate that the "chatbot" format is a transitional interface. Future paradigms may shift entirely toward autonomous agents that operate in the background, direct neural integration, or ambient systems that do not rely on conversational, turn-based dialogue.
Resolves: 1/21/2100.