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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Arsenii Lesniak and Oleg Kolninov in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arsenii Lesniak' if Arsenii Lesniak advances against Oleg Kolninov. This market will resolve to 'Oleg Kolninov' if Oleg Kolninov advances against Arsenii Lesniak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves: 10/4/2026.