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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Oleg Kolninov and Arsenii Lesniak in the M15 Baku, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Oleg Kolninov" if Oleg Kolninov wins by 2 or more sets than Arsenii Lesniak, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arsenii Lesniak." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Oleg Kolninov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Arsenii Lesniak." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Resolves: 10/4/2026.