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Prediction market on polymarket. In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Michael Soroka records more than 1.5 earned runs allowed during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Michael Soroka records less than 1.5 earned runs allowed during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If Michael Soroka is not the starting pitcher for the game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Michael Soroka starts the game but is removed at any point, this market will resolve based on the player's final recorded total. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolves: 9/27/2026.