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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Microsoft officially launches a USD-denominated stablecoin by December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM (ET). Outcome sourced from official communications from Microsoft. A qualifying launch occurs only when the token is publicly transferable on mainnet and tradable through a publicly accessible venue, whether a centralized exchange, decentralized exchange, or on-chain liquidity pool. Testnet deployments, private distributions, airdrop claims without public transferability, token-generation announcements, premarket allocations, and non-transferable points do not constitute a qualifying launch. The token must be launched directly by Microsoft, or by a subsidiary, affiliate, or authorized representative of Microsoft acting at Microsoft's direction. Accepting, integrating, distributing, or making payouts in a stablecoin issued by a third party does not qualify.
Resolves: 1/15/2027.