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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Arina Bulatova in the W100 Templeton, CA, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ella McDonald" if Ella McDonald wins by 2 or more sets than Arina Bulatova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arina Bulatova." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ella McDonald can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Arina Bulatova." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Resolves: 10/6/2026.