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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Sebastian Baez in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Juncheng Shang" if Juncheng Shang wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sebastian Baez." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Juncheng Shang can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sebastian Baez." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Resolves: 10/7/2026.