Will the Carlos Alcaraz cover 4.5 vs the Matteo Arnaldi in Carlos Alcaraz vs. Matteo Arnaldi?

Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Carlos Alcaraz covers a +4.5 game spread against Matteo Arnaldi across the full Carlos Alcaraz vs. Matteo Arnaldi ATP match scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a player retires during the match and the market can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed, the market will settle accordingly; otherwise the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from ATP.

Resolves: 10/17/2026.