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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Aryna Sabalenka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nikola Bartunkova" if Nikola Bartunkova wins by 2 or more sets than Aryna Sabalenka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aryna Sabalenka." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Nikola Bartunkova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aryna Sabalenka." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Resolves: 10/11/2026.