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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Andrey Rublev in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alex de Minaur" if Alex de Minaur wins by 2 or more sets than Andrey Rublev, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Andrey Rublev." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex de Minaur can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Andrey Rublev." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Resolves: 10/11/2026.