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Prediction market on polymarket. In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Türkiye, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Italy score 5 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Italy score less than 5 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Italy's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Resolves: 10/5/2026.