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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jaume Munar in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Carlos Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jaume Munar” if Jaume Munar wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Resolves: 10/12/2026.