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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karolina Muchova" if Karolina Muchova wins by 2 or more sets than Naomi Osaka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Naomi Osaka." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Karolina Muchova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Naomi Osaka." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Resolves: 10/13/2026.