Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning in a 3rd timeframe?

Prediction market on polymarket. Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, without any of the three dying in-game. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message listed in the Java Edition section of https://minecraft.wiki/w/Death_messages (as that page appeared at market creation) for the specified damage type is displayed for any of Jynxzi, Ron, or Los following an in-game death during the marathon that occurs after this market's creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Every death message listed for that damage type will count. The category of the in-game death is what matters, not the mob or player involved. Death messages listed for any other damage type on that page, or under the Bedrock Edition section, will not count, even where the cause of in-game death appears related. A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count. Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by any of the three players. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death. Only in-game deaths of the three accounts played by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos will count. In-game deaths of any other player in the world, including guests, moderators, or co-streamers playing on their own accounts, will not count. It does not matter who is physically at the controls when an in-game death occurs; only whose account died in-game. Deaths in any Minecraft world played as part of the marathon will count, including restarts on new seeds, and including if Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos modify or abandon the objectives of the challenge, change the ruleset, or play outside of Hardcore mode at any point. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the three players is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. This market will remain open until the marathon is declared complete, abandoned, or otherwise finally ended by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, or Los Pollos, regardless of whether the challenge is completed. If the marathon ends without a qualifying in-game death, or if the marathon is cancelled or never begins, this market will resolve to "No". If the marathon is still ongoing as of November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time." The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the marathon on Jynxzi's, StableRonaldo's, and Los Pollos's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.

Resolves: 12/1/2026.