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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Michael Geerts covers a +4.5 game spread against Pavel Lagutin across the full Michael Geerts vs. Pavel Lagutin ATP match scheduled for October 13, 2026. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a player retires during the match and the market can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed, the market will settle accordingly; otherwise the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from ATP.
Resolves: 10/27/2026.