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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if annual net international migration to the United States, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau for the latest twelve-month period in its Vintage 2026 National and State Population Estimates, is greater than or equal to 500,000. Outcome sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau. This market settles based on the U.S. Census Bureau's National and State Population Estimates, currently published in the "Components of Change" section of https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2020s-national-total.html. Each vintage's figure is taken as first published; later revisions will not be considered. If the U.S. Census Bureau does not publish annual net international migration for the United States for Vintage 2026 by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle based on annual net international migration for the United States for the most recent vintage year prior to Vintage 2026 for which it has been published. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20NIMC%20-%20(2026.10.06).pdf
Resolves: 12/29/2026.