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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Yes if Ariana Geerlings covers a +4.5 game spread across the full Ariana Geerlings vs Lucia Cortez Llorca WTA match scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a player retires or is disqualified during the match and the market can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed, the market will settle accordingly; otherwise the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WTA.
Resolves: 10/28/2026.