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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Gloeckler and Vardan Manukyan in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Michael Gloeckler" if Michael Gloeckler wins by 2 or more sets than Vardan Manukyan, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Vardan Manukyan." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Michael Gloeckler can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Vardan Manukyan." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Resolves: 10/21/2026.