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Prediction market on polymarket_us. This market will settle to Up if the Ethereum price at 4:30PM ET on Oct 26, 2026 is greater than or equal to the price at 4:15PM ET on Oct 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to Down. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Ether-Dollar Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/ETHUSD_RTI. The price at the beginning and at the end of the time range is determined the same way: in the last minute before each of those two times, 60 ETHUSD_RTI prices are collected. The official value for that time is the simple average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolves: 10/26/2026.