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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Nick Hardt in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Juan Manuel La Serna" if Juan Manuel La Serna wins by 2 or more sets than Nick Hardt, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Nick Hardt." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Juan Manuel La Serna can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Nick Hardt." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Resolves: 11/2/2026.